Is Pennsylvania A Swing State For 2024 Presidential Election?

The United States presidential election is here, with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris vying for the Oval Office. 

Utilizing the average results of three current polls for the 2024 Presidential Election, PennStakes.com developed the following odds of how Pennsylvania will vote in 2024. The 3 polls were “Franklin & Marshall,” “Bloomberg / Morning Consult” and “Susquehanna Polling.” 

Here are the anticipated results for Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 5. Stick with PennStakes.com for more updates after Decision Day, plus all news around PA sportsbooks.

Is Pennsylvania a Red or Blue State in 2024?

Party

Odds

Percent Chance

Donald Trump (Republican)

+107

48.2%

Kamala Harris (Democrat)

+108

48.1%

🔥 PennStakes.com is your home for the best PA sportsbook promos.

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLERMust be 21+. PA only. Please Gamble Responsibly. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions. New Customers Only. All promotions are subject to qualification and eligibility requirements. Rewards issued as non-withdrawable site credit/bonus bets unless otherwise provided in the applicable terms Rewards subject to expiry.

Recent Pennsylvania Voting In Presidential Elections

Election YearDemocratic Candidate Republican Candidate
2020 Joe Biden (50.0%) Donald Trump (48.8%)
2016 Hillary Clinton (47.5%) Donald Trump (48.2%)
2012Barack Obama (52%) Mitt Romney (46.7%)
2008 Barack Obama (54.7%) John McCain (44.3%)
2004 John Kerry (51%) George W. Bush (48.5%)

One of the key Election Day battlegrounds, Pennsylvanians voted Democratic in six straight Presidential Elections, until former President Donald Trump won it by just 0.7% in 2016 over Hillary Clinton (48.2% to 47.5%), In 2020, the state remained a hotbed as President Joe Biden - a Pennsylvania native - got the Democrats back in the win column by a mere 1.2% with 50% of the vote to Trump's 48.8%. 

With our recent compilation of poll data early on in the election process, it appears the state will go Democrat blue again at -105 (51.2%) to Republican Red +105 (48.8%). 

Here are some key voting trends to keep an eye on for the first Tuesday in November: 

Between 2000 and 2020, Pennsylvania voted for the winning presidential candidate 66.7% of the time and since 2000, the Keystone State has voted Democratic 83.3% of the time to 16.7% for Republicans. 

Just remember to vote!

Disclaimer: Bettors in the United States are unable to place wagers on any government election due to political betting in any capacity being prohibited. However, sportsbooks with licensed authorization outside the U.S. — including bet365 — offer betting odds for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Bet365, which has secured licenses in several jurisdictions across America, is currently offering 2024 presidential odds in both the United Kingdom and Canada

Must be 21+ to participate & present in PA. T&Cs apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Author

Editorial Staff

The experts at PennStakes who bring you the latest updates in Pennsylvania sports betting and online casinos. We pull together decades of experience to give you analysis as well as comparisons of the best PA online gambling apps.

Cited by leading media organizations, such as: