Penn State College Football Playoff Odds: What are PSU's Playoff Chances?

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Fact Checked by Thomas Leary

After going 11-1 and making a trip to the Big 10 Championship, Penn State lost in the College Football Playoff semifinal to Notre Dame and finished the season with a 13-3 record. Entering the offseason, I'll track Penn State's playoff odds for the 2025-26 season from the top operators in Pennsylvania iGaming.

Latest Penn State CFP Odds

The table below provides a quick overview of PSU's playoff odds and other related futures markets for the 2025 season. The odds below have been pulled from several operators, such as bet365 PA Sportsbook, and the percentage next to each set of odds represents the implied probability for each market.

πŸ’ͺ Penn State Playoff OddsOTB
πŸ† Penn State National Championship Odds+800 (11.1% chance)
πŸ₯‡ Penn State Odds to Win Big TenOTB
βœ… Odds Last VerifiedApril 15, 2025

When it comes to futures bets like the ones listed above, I always suggest checking multiple Pennsylvania sports betting apps before placing any wagers because odds in these markets tend to vary much more than other bet types. 

Is Penn State in the Playoffs?

Yes, Penn State made the College Football Playoff in the 2024-25 season, but lost to Notre Dame in the semifinal. The 2025-26 season has not yet started, so no team has made the playoffs yet. Odds are not yet available for Penn State to make the playoffs, but they have strong odds to win the National Championship. 

Heading into next season, the Nittany Lions are +800 to win the National Championship – the fifth-shortest odds in college football.

Penn State Football Playoff Scenarios

Similar to their path to the College Football Playoff in 2024, the Nittany Lions will likely need to win at least nine games to qualify. Staying afloat in the Big Ten isn't easy, but with a wealth of returners, including QB Drew Allar, there's a reason Penn State is one of the favorites.

Penn State Playoff Standings

Although Penn State will be the No. 6 seed in the College Football Playoff bracket, the Lions finished the year as the No. 4 team in the final edition of the College Football Playoff rankings. We will update this section once we get closer to the 2025-26 season. 

CFP Rankings (Final Week)

1. Oregon
2. Georgia
3. Texas
4.⭐ Penn State
5. Notre Dame
6. Ohio State
7. Tennessee
8. Indiana
9. Boise State
10. SMU
11. Alabama
12. Arizona State
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PSU Playoff Odds: Latest Updates and News

Here are the latest pieces of news and updates that could impact Penn State's playoff odds:

  • πŸ—“οΈ March 25, 2025: Penn State starts spring practice as they prepare for the annual spring football game, which takes place on April 26.
  • πŸ—“οΈ January 9, 2025: The Nittany Lions lose to Notre Dame in the Orange Bowl (CFP semifinal), 27-24, eliminating them from the postseason.
  • πŸ—“οΈ January 2, 2025: Penn State will play Notre Dame in the Orange Bowl, one of two College Football Playoff semi-final games.
  • πŸ—“οΈ December 31: Penn State jumps out to a quick lead over Boise State and never looks back, winning 31-14.
  • πŸ—“οΈ December 21: PSU gets its first-ever playoff win, 31-10 over SMU.
  • πŸ—“οΈ December 8: The College Football Playoffs are set and the Nittany Lions will play against SMU at Beaver Stadium on December 21.
  • πŸ—“οΈ December 7: Penn State can't keep up against Oregon, falling in the Big 10 Championship game 45-37.
  • πŸ—“οΈ November 30: Thanks to Michigan's upset victory over Ohio State, Penn State is heading to the Big 10 Championship game after beating Maryland 44-7.
  • πŸ—“οΈ November 23: Penn State keeps its playoff hopes alive with a 26-25 win over Minnesota.
  • πŸ—“οΈ November 16: The Lions' offense continues to roll, putting up 49 points in their win over Purdue.
  • πŸ—“οΈ November 9: The Nittany Lions bounce back with a dominant 35-6 win over Washington.
  • πŸ—“οΈ November 2: Penn State falls short to the Buckeyes, 13-20.
  • πŸ—“οΈ October 26: Despite losing QB Drew Allar for the final two quarters of the game, Penn State beats Wisconsin on the road 28-13.
  • πŸ—“οΈ October 12: After trailing 17-3 at halftime, Penn State rallies back and picks up a massive win against USC in overtime, 33-30.
  • πŸ—“οΈ October 5: In their first matchup against one of the new Big 10 additions, the Lions beat UCLA 27-11.
  • πŸ—“οΈ September 28: Penn State picks up its first win over a ranked opponent, 21-7 over Illinois.
  • πŸ—“οΈ September 21: Coming off a bye week, the offense finally takes off, taking down Kent State 56-0.
  • πŸ—“οΈ September 7: The Lions narrowly escape a disastrous upset, beating Bowling Green 34-27.
  • πŸ—“οΈ August 31: Penn State takes care of business in Morgantown, winning 34-12.
  • πŸ—“οΈ August 13: Penn State opens the season at No. 8 in the AP Top 25 Preseason Poll.

Penn State Football Schedule 2025

DateOpponentResult
August 30vs Nevada 
September 6vs FIU 
September 13vs Villanova 
September 27vs Oregon 
October 4at UCLA 
October 11vs Northwestern 
October 18at Iowa 
November 1at Ohio State 
November 8vs Indiana 
November 15at MI State 
November 22at Nebraska 
November 29at Rutgers 

 

Penn State Football Outlook and Playoff Prediction

Much of Penn State's 2025 season will come down to the offense. Drew Allar will return at quarterback, and with tight end Tyler Warren entering the NFL draft, the Nittany Lions focused much of their attention on signing wide receivers in the transfer portal. The one area where there aren't any questions is running back. Nick Singleton and Kaytron Allen will lead the way in what is one of the most underrated RB duos in the entire country.

Defensively, there is another new face as Jim Knowles takes over as the defensive coordinator, replacing Tom Allen, who left for Clemson. Knowles comes from Ohio State and led the Buckeyes to a National Title. We expect Penn State to have one of the top defensive units once again.

Penn State has signed six players from the transfer portal, including WR Kyron Hudson from USC, WR Devonte Ross from Troy and S King Mack from Alabama.

Penn State College Football Playoff Odds FAQs

Author

Cody Kutzer

Cody Kutzer has been covering the sports betting and gambling space for several years and has been losing his parlay bets for even longer. He currently serves as an editor, writer, and fact-checker for PennStakes.com to ensure readers have the latest and most accurate information surrounding PA sports betting.

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